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356
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96
Elon Musk
36
Apple
17
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33
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34
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1
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21
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152
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0
Science & Tech
Science & Tech
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AI
Elon Musk
Apple
SpaceX
OpenAI
Research
FDA
Big Tech
TikTok
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Alphabet
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Apple
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Microsoft
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Tesla
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Amazon
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$23.1M Vol.
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPal
57%
Yes
57%
No
43%
MGM Resorts
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
Viking Therapeutics
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
Lovable
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
Brown-Forman
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
Perplexity AI
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
$18.2M Vol.
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Google
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
OpenAI
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
xAI
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Z.ai
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
DeepSeek
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$16.2M Vol.
Largest Company end of July?
NVIDIA
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company H
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company I
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company N
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$7.6M Vol.
Claude 5 released by…?
September 30, 2026
70%
Yes
70%
No
30%
June 30, 2026
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
$4.0M Vol.
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
December 31
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
June 30
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
September 30
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
August 31
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
June 15
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
$4.0M Vol.
Largest Company end of May?
NVIDIA
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Alphabet
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
Apple
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Saudi Aramco
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Broadcom
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Tesla
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.4M Vol.
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
September 30, 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
August 31, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.9M Vol.
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
2.0T-2.5T
49%
Yes
49%
No
51%
1.5T-2.0T
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
2.5T-3.0T
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
1.0T-1.5T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
3.0T-3.5T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
3.5T+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$2.7M Vol.
Largest Company end of August?
NVIDIA
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
Company A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$2.2M Vol.
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Google
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
OpenAI
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
DeepSeek
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Alibaba
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Meta
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.0M Vol.
Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$2.0M Vol.
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
Goldman Sachs
53%
Yes
53%
No
47%
Morgan Stanley
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
Bank of America
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
JPMorgan
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
UBS
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Citigroup
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
600B+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
400–600B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<100B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
200–300B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
OpenAI
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
DeepSeek
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Z.ai
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Baidu
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Nvidia
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Meituan
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12
June 30
92%
Yes
92%
No
8%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
89%
Yes
89%
No
11%
May 31
89%
Yes
89%
No
11%
Successful splash down?
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
May 22
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
May 15
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$1.7M Vol.
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
72%
Yes
72%
No
28%
November 30, 2026
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
October 31, 2026
55%
Yes
55%
No
45%
September 30, 2026
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
September 15, 2026
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
August 31, 2026
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$1.5M Vol.
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
2.0T+
64%
Yes
64%
No
36%
1.8T–2.0T
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
1.6T–1.8T
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
1.4T–1.6T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
1.2T–1.4T
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
1.0T–1.2T
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.4M Vol.
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
July 31
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
June 30
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
May 31
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$1.0M Vol.
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$991k Vol.
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
December 31, 2027
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
June 30, 2027
54%
Yes
54%
No
46%
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$936k Vol.
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of IPO Month
$2.0T-$2.5T
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$2.5T-$3.0T
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
$1.5T-$2.0T
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
$3.0T-$3.5T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$1.0T-$1.5T
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$3.5T+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$777k Vol.
Monthly
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
July 27
88%
Yes
88%
No
12%
July 26
87%
Yes
87%
No
13%
July 25
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
July 24
76%
Yes
76%
No
24%
$708k Vol.
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Google
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
OpenAI
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
DeepSeek
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
xAI
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Z.ai
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$648k Vol.
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$579k Vol.
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
98%
chance
Yes
No
$572k Vol.
Databricks IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
200–250B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
150–175B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–125B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
250B+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
175–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$565k Vol.
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5-6
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
<5
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
7-8
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
9-10
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
11-12
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
>16
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$493k Vol.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
95%
Yes
95%
No
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
400–600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<100B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
300–400B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$423k Vol.
2nd Largest Company end of August?
Apple
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
Company A
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company B
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company C
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company D
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Company E
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$415k Vol.
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
Necklace
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Glasses
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Watch
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Ring
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
Earbuds/Headphones
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
$411k Vol.
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$408k Vol.
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