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Tous
2208
Quotidien
0
Hebdomadaire
0
Mensuel
0
Actions
1081
Bénéfices
437
Indices
155
Matières Premières
206
Devises
55
Objets de Collection
Acquisitions
3
Calendrier des Bénéfices
0
Conférences de Résultats
Pape
44
Taux de la Fed
17
Marchés de prévision
0
Bons du Trésor
1
Finance
Finance
Tous
Quotidien
Hebdomadaire
Mensuel
Actions
Bénéfices
Indices
Matières Premières
Devises
Objets de Collection
Acquisitions
Calendrier des Bénéfices
Conférences de Résultats
Pape
Taux de la Fed
Marchés de prévision
Bons du Trésor
Fed Decision in June?
No change
99%
Oui
99%
Non
1%
25 bps increase
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
25 bps decrease
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
50+ bps decrease
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
50+ bps increase
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
$76.2M Vol.
Combien de baisses de taux de la Fed en 2026 ?
0 (0 bps)
86%
Oui
86%
Non
14%
1 (25 bps)
10%
Oui
10%
Non
90%
2 (50 pb)
3%
Oui
3%
Non
97%
3 (75 points de base)
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
4 (100 pb)
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
5 (125 pb)
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
$49.3M Vol.
Fed rate hike in 2026?
55%
probabilité
Oui
Non
$7.9M Vol.
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%
42%
Oui
42%
Non
58%
4.0%
32%
Oui
32%
Non
68%
4.25%
13%
Oui
13%
Non
87%
3.5%
8%
Oui
8%
Non
92%
≥ 4.5%
5%
Oui
5%
Non
95%
3.25%
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
$6.8M Vol.
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
12%
Oui
12%
Non
88%
October Meeting
4%
Oui
4%
Non
96%
September Meeting
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
$3.2M Vol.
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
99%
Oui
99%
Non
1%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Other
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
$1.7M Vol.
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
86%
Oui
86%
Non
14%
Other
14%
Oui
14%
Non
86%
Pause–Pause–Cut
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
$803k Vol.
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause
69%
Oui
69%
Non
31%
Other
34%
Oui
34%
Non
66%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
$778k Vol.
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Pause–Pause–Pause
50%
Oui
50%
Non
50%
Other
40%
Oui
40%
Non
60%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Oui
3%
Non
97%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Pause–Cut–Cut
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
$720k Vol.
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
18%
probabilité
Oui
Non
$436k Vol.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%
67%
Oui
67%
Non
33%
5.0%
23%
Oui
23%
Non
77%
5.2%
8%
Oui
8%
Non
92%
5.5%
5%
Oui
5%
Non
95%
6.0%
3%
Oui
3%
Non
97%
5.7%
3%
Oui
3%
Non
97%
$288k Vol.
Fed Decision in December?
No change
63%
Oui
63%
Non
37%
25 bps increase
28%
Oui
28%
Non
72%
25 bps decrease
9%
Oui
9%
Non
91%
50+ bps increase
2%
Oui
2%
Non
98%
50+ bps decrease
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
$258k Vol.
Fed Decision in January?
No change
61%
Oui
61%
Non
39%
25 bps increase
20%
Oui
20%
Non
80%
25 bps decrease
13%
Oui
13%
Non
87%
50+ bps decrease
4%
Oui
4%
Non
96%
50+ bps increase
2%
Oui
2%
Non
98%
$42k Vol.
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
36%
Oui
36%
Non
64%
1
22%
Oui
22%
Non
78%
2
21%
Oui
21%
Non
79%
3
17%
Oui
17%
Non
83%
4+
5%
Oui
5%
Non
95%
$33k Vol.
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
3
25%
Oui
25%
Non
75%
2
20%
Oui
20%
Non
80%
1
20%
Oui
20%
Non
80%
0
19%
Oui
19%
Non
81%
4+
15%
Oui
15%
Non
85%
$9k Vol.
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2
24%
Oui
24%
Non
76%
3
23%
Oui
23%
Non
77%
4+
22%
Oui
22%
Non
78%
1
18%
Oui
18%
Non
82%
0
17%
Oui
17%
Non
83%
$7k Vol.
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
December 31
8%
Oui
8%
Non
92%
November 30
7%
Oui
7%
Non
93%
October 31
3%
Oui
3%
Non
97%
September 30
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
$5k Vol.
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