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Stocks
1038
Earnings
437
Indices
146
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200
Forex
42
Collectibles
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0
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44
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17
Prediction Markets
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Finans
Finans
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Daily
Weekly
Monthly
Stocks
Earnings
Indices
Commodities
Forex
Collectibles
Acquisitions
Earnings Calendar
Earnings Calls
IPOs
Fed Rates
Prediction Markets
Treasuries
Fed Decision in June?
No change
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
25 bps increase
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
25 bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50+ bps decrease
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50+ bps increase
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$76.2M Vol.
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
86%
Yes
86%
No
14%
1 (25 bps)
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
2 (50 bps)
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
3 (75 bps)
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
4 (100 bps)
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
5 (125 bps)
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$49.3M Vol.
Fed rate hike in 2026?
55%
chance
Yes
No
$7.9M Vol.
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
4.0%
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
4.25%
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
3.5%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
≥ 4.5%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
3.25%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$6.8M Vol.
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
October Meeting
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
September Meeting
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$3.2M Vol.
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Other
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)
Pause–Pause–Pause
86%
Yes
86%
No
14%
Other
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Pause–Pause–Cut
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$803k Vol.
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
Other
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
Pause–Pause–Cut
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$778k Vol.
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Pause–Pause–Pause
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
Other
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Pause–Cut–Pause
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Pause–Cut–Cut
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$720k Vol.
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
18%
chance
Yes
No
$436k Vol.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
5.0%
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
5.2%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
5.5%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
6.0%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
5.7%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$288k Vol.
Fed Decision in December?
No change
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
25 bps increase
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
25 bps decrease
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
50+ bps increase
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
50+ bps decrease
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$258k Vol.
Fed Decision in January?
No change
61%
Yes
61%
No
39%
25 bps increase
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
25 bps decrease
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
50+ bps decrease
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
50+ bps increase
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$42k Vol.
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
1
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
2
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
3
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
4+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$33k Vol.
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
3
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
2
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
1
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
0
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
4+
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
$9k Vol.
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
3
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
4+
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
1
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
0
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
$7k Vol.
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
December 31
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
November 30
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
October 31
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
September 30
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$5k Vol.
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