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241
Trade War
0
Fed Rates
9
Inflation
52
Macro Indicators
3
GDP
27
Global Rates
0
Taxes
0
Treasuries
0
TSA
0
Housing
24
Økonomi
Økonomi
All
Trade War
Fed Rates
Inflation
Macro Indicators
GDP
Global Rates
Taxes
Treasuries
TSA
Housing
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
September Meeting
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
$2.3M Vol.
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Above 5%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
Above 6%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Above 8%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Above 10%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$1.4M Vol.
June Inflation US - Annual
3.8%
51%
Yes
51%
No
49%
3.7%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
3.9%
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
4.0%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
≤3.6%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
4.1%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$697k Vol.
July Inflation US - Annual
3.4%
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
3.3%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
3.5%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
≤3.1%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
3.6%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
3.2%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$649k Vol.
May Inflation US - Annual
4.2%
49%
Yes
49%
No
51%
4.3%
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
4.1%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
≥4.4%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
4.0%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
3.9%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$521k Vol.
April Inflation US - Annual
3.7%
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
3.8%
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
3.6%
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
3.9%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
3.5%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
≥4.1%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$374k Vol.
July Inflation US - Monthly
≥0.1%
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
0.0%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
-0.1%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
≤-0.7%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
-0.2%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
-0.4%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$305k Vol.
Monthly
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
0.2%
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
0.3%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
0.1%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
≤0.0%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
0.4%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
0.6%+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$173k Vol.
Core CPI YoY - July 2026
2.5%
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
2.4%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
2.7%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
2.6%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
2.9%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
≤2.2%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$140k Vol.
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+
47%
Yes
47%
No
53%
2.8-3.0%
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
2.5–2.7%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
1.0–1.2%
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
2.2–2.4%
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
<1.0%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$106k Vol.
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49%
51%
Yes
51%
No
49%
4.50-4.99%
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
5.50-5.99%
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
4.00-4.49%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
3.50-3.99%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
7.00%+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$96k Vol.
May Inflation US - Monthly
0.5%
64%
Yes
64%
No
36%
0.4%
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
0.6%
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
0.7%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
≥0.9%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
0.3%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$90k Vol.
Monthly
Price of Dozen Eggs in May?
$2.00–$2.25
51%
Yes
51%
No
49%
$2.25–$2.50
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
$1.75–$2.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.50–$2.75
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.75–$3.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.50–$1.75
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$87k Vol.
April Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
0.5%
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
0.7%
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
0.4%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
0.8%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
0.9%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$79k Vol.
Monthly
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0%
60%
Yes
60%
No
40%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
1.1 – 1.5%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
2.0-2.4%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$74k Vol.
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
62%
Yes
62%
No
38%
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$71k Vol.
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9%
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
3.5–3.9%
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
4.0-4.4%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
4.5%+
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
2.0–2.4%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
1.5–1.9%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$68k Vol.
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99%
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
4.00% to 4.49%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
3.00% to 3.49%
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
4.50% to 4.99%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
2.50% to 2.99%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
5.00% to 5.49%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$65k Vol.
PPI YoY - July 2026
≤5.1%
80%
Yes
80%
No
20%
5.2%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
5.3%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
5.6%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
5.4%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
5.5%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$64k Vol.
Price of Dozen Eggs in April?
$2.25–2.50
65%
Yes
65%
No
35%
$2.00–2.25
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
$1.75–2.00
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$2.50–2.75
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<$1.75
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.75–3.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$54k Vol.
Argentina Monthly Inflation - May
2.2–2.4%
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
≤2.1%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
2.8–3.0%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
2.5–2.7%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
3.4–3.6%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
4.0%+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$50k Vol.
Monthly
Core PCE YoY - July 2026
3.3%
79%
Yes
79%
No
21%
3.2%
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
3.4%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
3.1%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
≤3.0%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
3.6%+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$50k Vol.
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%
52%
Yes
52%
No
48%
25-29.9%
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
20-24.9%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
<20%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
45%+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
40-44.9%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$43k Vol.
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
4.1-4.4%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
4.4-4.7%
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
3.8-4.1%
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
>5.0%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
4.7-5.0%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
3.5-3.8%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$40k Vol.
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9%
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
4.0%+
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
3.0-3.4%
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
3.5-3.9%
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
1.5–1.9%
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
2.0–2.4%
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$39k Vol.
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4%
54%
Yes
54%
No
46%
≤1.9%
47%
Yes
47%
No
53%
3.0-3.4%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
4.0%+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
2.5-2.9%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
3.5-3.9%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$37k Vol.
Core PCE MoM - July 2026
0.2%
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
0.3%
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
0.1%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
0.4%+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
0.0%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
-0.1%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$34k Vol.
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
3.0%+
29%
Yes
29%
No
71%
2.4% to 2.6%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
2.1% to 2.3%
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
1.5% to 1.7%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
<1.5%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$31k Vol.
Price of Dozen Eggs in July?
$2.00–$2.25
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$1.75–$2.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.25–$2.50
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
≥$3.50
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.00–$3.25
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.75–$3.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$28k Vol.
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4%
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
3.3%
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
3.5%
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
3.2%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
3.6%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
3.1%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$27k Vol.
Argentina Monthly Inflation - July
1.8-2.0%
65%
Yes
65%
No
35%
2.1-2.3%
15%
Yes
15%
No
85%
1.5-1.7%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
2.4-2.6%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
1.2-1.4%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
≤1.1%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$26k Vol.
Monthly
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$8.000+
52%
Yes
52%
No
48%
$7.000+
48%
Yes
48%
No
52%
$9.000+
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
$10.000+
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$21k Vol.
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