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360
AI
96
Elon Musk
36
Apple
17
SpaceX
33
OpenAI
34
Research
1
FDA
21
Big Tech
156
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0
Vitenskap og teknologi
Vitenskap og teknologi
All
AI
Elon Musk
Apple
SpaceX
OpenAI
Research
FDA
Big Tech
TikTok
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Alphabet
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Apple
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Microsoft
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Tesla
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Amazon
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$23.1M Vol.
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
PayPal
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
MGM Resorts
35%
Yes
35%
No
65%
Viking Therapeutics
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
Perplexity AI
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
Lovable
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
Brown-Forman
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
$18.2M Vol.
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Google
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
OpenAI
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
xAI
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Z.ai
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
DeepSeek
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$16.2M Vol.
Claude 5 released by…?
September 30, 2026
70%
Yes
70%
No
30%
June 30, 2026
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
$4.0M Vol.
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
September 30, 2026
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
August 31, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.9M Vol.
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Google
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
OpenAI
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
DeepSeek
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Alibaba
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Meta
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.0M Vol.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
600B+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
400–600B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<100B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
200–300B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
OpenAI
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
DeepSeek
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Z.ai
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Baidu
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Nvidia
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Meituan
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.7M Vol.
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
66%
Yes
66%
No
34%
November 30, 2026
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
October 31, 2026
44%
Yes
44%
No
56%
September 30, 2026
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
September 15, 2026
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
August 31, 2026
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.5M Vol.
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
July 31
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
June 30
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
May 31
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$1.0M Vol.
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$991k Vol.
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Google
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
OpenAI
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
DeepSeek
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
xAI
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Z.ai
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$648k Vol.
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
95%
Yes
95%
No
5%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
400–600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
<100B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
300–400B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100–200B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$423k Vol.
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
Necklace
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Glasses
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Watch
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Earbuds/Headphones
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Ring
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$412k Vol.
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$408k Vol.
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
October 31, 2026
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$347k Vol.
Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
50%+
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
55%+
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
60%+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$315k Vol.
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
95%
Anthropic
Anthropic
OpenAI
$315k Vol.
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
78%
chance
Yes
No
$184k Vol.
Grok 5 released by...?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$175k Vol.
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$152k Vol.
Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO before 2028
64%
Yes
64%
No
36%
<20B
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
50B–75B
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
75B–100B
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
30B–40B
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
100B+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$147k Vol.
Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
40%+
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
45%+
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
50%+
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
60%+
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$144k Vol.
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?
December 31
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
August 31
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$125k Vol.
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
80%
chance
Yes
No
$119k Vol.
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$116k Vol.
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$112k Vol.
GPU rental prices (H100) end of July?
$2.60-$2.90
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$2.30-$2.60
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.90-$3.20
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.00-$2.30
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.20-$3.50
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.50+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$99k Vol.
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$96k Vol.
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
100%
SpaceX
SpaceX
OpenAI
$90k Vol.
GPU rental prices (H200) end of June?
$3.00-$4.00
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
<$3.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$7.00+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$4.00-$5.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$5.00-$6.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$6.00-$7.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$90k Vol.
GPU rental prices (B200) end of July?
$6.00-$7.00
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
$4.00-$5.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$5.00-$6.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$7.00+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<$3.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$3.00-$4.00
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$81k Vol.
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