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360
AI
96
Elon Musk
36
Apple
17
SpaceX
33
OpenAI
34
Research
1
FDA
21
Big Tech
156
TikTok
0
Vitenskap og teknologi
Vitenskap og teknologi
All
AI
Elon Musk
Apple
SpaceX
OpenAI
Research
FDA
Big Tech
TikTok
Which company has best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Google
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
OpenAI
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
xAI
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Z.ai
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
DeepSeek
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$16.2M Vol.
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
September 30, 2026
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
August 31, 2026
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.9M Vol.
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Google
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
OpenAI
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
DeepSeek
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Alibaba
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Meta
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$2.0M Vol.
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
66%
Yes
66%
No
34%
November 30, 2026
59%
Yes
59%
No
41%
October 31, 2026
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
September 30, 2026
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
September 15, 2026
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
August 31, 2026
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$1.5M Vol.
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$991k Vol.
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
Google
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
OpenAI
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
DeepSeek
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
xAI
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Z.ai
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$648k Vol.
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
Clip-on device for clothing
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
Necklace
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Glasses
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Watch
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Earbuds/Headphones
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Ring
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$412k Vol.
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$408k Vol.
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
October 31, 2026
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
$347k Vol.
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
95%
Anthropic
Anthropic
OpenAI
$314k Vol.
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$298k Vol.
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$112k Vol.
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$96k Vol.
Sam Altman in jail by...?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$46k Vol.
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman Sachs
76%
Yes
76%
No
24%
Morgan Stanley
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
UBS
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Bank of America
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Deutsche Bank
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
JPMorgan
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$43k Vol.
Private Companies - greatest valuation growth August 2026
Databricks
82%
Yes
82%
No
18%
Anthropic
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
ByteDance
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
OpenAI
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Stripe
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$27k Vol.
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
18%
chance
Yes
No
$26k Vol.
2nd largest private company end of July?
OpenAI
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
Anthropic
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Anduril
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Epic Games
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Databricks
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Neuralink
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$15k Vol.
3rd largest private company end of August?
Databricks
95%
Yes
95%
No
5%
Anduril
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Lambda
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
OpenAI
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Anthropic
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Kraken
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$12k Vol.
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
50%
chance
Yes
No
$12k Vol.
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
94%
SpaceX
SpaceX
OpenAI
$11k Vol.
OpenAI’s valuation end of August 2026?
$800-$900B
71%
Yes
71%
No
29%
$900B-$1.00T
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
<$600B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$600-$700B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$700-$800B
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.00-$1.10T
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$11k Vol.
Largest private company end of August?
Anthropic
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
OpenAI
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Anduril
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Perplexity
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Kraken
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Canva
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$10k Vol.
2nd largest private company end of August?
OpenAI
96%
Yes
96%
No
4%
Kraken
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Stripe
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Neuralink
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Anthropic
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Canva
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$9k Vol.
3rd largest private company end of July?
Databricks
48%
Yes
48%
No
52%
Perplexity
48%
Yes
48%
No
52%
Neuralink
48%
Yes
48%
No
52%
Canva
48%
Yes
48%
No
52%
Stripe
47%
Yes
47%
No
53%
OpenAI
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$8k Vol.
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?
$800-$900B
47%
Yes
47%
No
53%
$900B-$1.00T
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
<$600B
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$1.10-$1.20T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$1.00-$1.10T
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$600-$700B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$7k Vol.
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by August 31?
↑$900B
63%
Yes
63%
No
37%
↓$850B
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
↑$1.0T
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
↑$950B
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
↑$1.1T
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
↑$1.25T
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$6k Vol.
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$6k Vol.
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$5k Vol.
OpenAI acquired before 2027?
4%
chance
Yes
No
$5k Vol.
Anthropic vs OpenAI — greater valuation growth August 2026
64%
Anthropic
Anthropic
OpenAI
$4k Vol.
Stripe vs Databricks — greater valuation growth August 2026
96%
Databricks
Databricks
Stripe
$947 Vol.
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