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223
Military Strikes
16
Oil
0
Iran Regime
0
Ceasefire
0
Hormuz Strait
36
Regional Spillover
3
US x Iran
13
Iran Strikes Israel
0
Reza Pahlavi
7
Lebanon
10
Nuclear
0
Israel x Iran
0
Kurds
1
Iran
Iran
All
Military Strikes
Oil
Iran Regime
Ceasefire
Hormuz Strait
Regional Spillover
US x Iran
Iran Strikes Israel
Reza Pahlavi
Lebanon
Nuclear
Israel x Iran
Kurds
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 31
57%
Yes
57%
No
43%
June 30
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
June 15
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
$30.4M Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$13.0M Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$12.1M Vol.
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
60+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
80+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$4.0M Vol.
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$1.8M Vol.
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
20-40
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
40-60
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
10-20
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
60+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
0-10
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$595k Vol.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$525k Vol.
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
United States
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
United Kingdom
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
France
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Netherlands
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Germany
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Italy
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$524k Vol.
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?
0-20
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
40-60
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
20-40
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
60-80
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
80+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$306k Vol.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 6?
<150
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
175-199
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
150-174
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
225+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
200-224
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$276k Vol.
Weekly
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31?
US
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Australia
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Greece
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
France
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Italy
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
UK
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$268k Vol.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 20?
50-74
83%
Yes
83%
No
17%
<50
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
75-99
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
100-124
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
125+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$231k Vol.
Weekly
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
16%
chance
Yes
No
$153k Vol.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of May 4?
<25
91%
Yes
91%
No
9%
25-49
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
50-74
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
100+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
75-99
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$142k Vol.
Weekly
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
40+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
50+
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
60+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
100+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
80+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$139k Vol.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 27?
25-49
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
75-99
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<25
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50-74
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$119k Vol.
Weekly
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 22?
100+
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
75-99
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
25-49
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
50-74
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<25
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$84k Vol.
Weekly
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?
0-20
98%
Yes
98%
No
2%
20-40
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
40-60
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
60-80
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
80+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$80k Vol.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 10?
25-49
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
<25
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
50-74
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
75-99
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$79k Vol.
Weekly
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
24%
chance
Yes
No
$79k Vol.
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
0-10
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
10-20
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
60+
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
20-40
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
40-60
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$66k Vol.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of July 13?
<100
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
100-124
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
125-149
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
150-174
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
175+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$62k Vol.
Weekly
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 17?
25-49
84%
Yes
84%
No
16%
<25
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
50-74
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
75-99
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
100+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$61k Vol.
Weekly
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 3?
25-49
68%
Yes
68%
No
32%
<25
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
50-74
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
100+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
75-99
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$56k Vol.
Weekly
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 29?
150+
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
100-124
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
125-149
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
75-99
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
<75
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$38k Vol.
Weekly
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?
75-99
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
50-74
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
100+
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
25-49
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
<25
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$33k Vol.
Weekly
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 17?
200+
75%
Yes
75%
No
25%
180-199
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
160-179
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
<160
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$28k Vol.
Weekly
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August?
30-34
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
25-29
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
<25
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
35-39
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
40+
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$27k Vol.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of July?
96%
chance
Yes
No
$25k Vol.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of July 20?
<220
99%
Yes
99%
No
1%
220-229
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
260+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
240-249
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
250-259
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
230-239
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$18k Vol.
Weekly
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 3?
<180
47%
Yes
47%
No
53%
180-199
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
200-219
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
220+
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$16k Vol.
Weekly
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 10?
<180
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
220+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
180-199
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$16k Vol.
Weekly
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