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4
Military Strikes
16
Oil
0
Iran Regime
0
Ceasefire
0
Hormuz Strait
36
Regional Spillover
3
US x Iran
13
Iran Strikes Israel
0
Reza Pahlavi
7
Lebanon
10
Nuclear
0
Israel x Iran
0
Kurds
1
Iran
Iran
All
Military Strikes
Oil
Iran Regime
Ceasefire
Hormuz Strait
Regional Spillover
US x Iran
Iran Strikes Israel
Reza Pahlavi
Lebanon
Nuclear
Israel x Iran
Kurds
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
66%
chance
Yes
No
$660k Vol.
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
July 31
50%
Yes
50%
No
50%
July 24
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
$55k Vol.
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by...?
September 30
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
September 15
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
August 31
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
$42k Vol.
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