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222
Military Strikes
15
Oil
0
Iran Regime
0
Ceasefire
0
Hormuz Strait
36
Regional Spillover
3
US x Iran
13
Iran Strikes Israel
0
Reza Pahlavi
7
Lebanon
10
Nuclear
0
Israel x Iran
0
Kurds
1
Iran
Iran
All
Military Strikes
Oil
Iran Regime
Ceasefire
Hormuz Strait
Regional Spillover
US x Iran
Iran Strikes Israel
Reza Pahlavi
Lebanon
Nuclear
Israel x Iran
Kurds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
chance
Yes
No
$59.7M Vol.
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$3.0M Vol.
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
August 25
100%
Yes
100%
No
0%
August 31
93%
Yes
93%
No
7%
September 15
82%
Yes
82%
No
18%
September 30
74%
Yes
74%
No
26%
October 31
67%
Yes
67%
No
33%
$2.8M Vol.
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
September 30
37%
Yes
37%
No
63%
September 15
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
August 31
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
$44k Vol.
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
September 30
53%
Yes
53%
No
47%
September 15
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
August 31
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$40k Vol.
Will Iran target Oman by...?
September 30
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
September 15
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
August 31
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$28k Vol.
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
September 30
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
September 15
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
August 31
91%
Yes
91%
No
9%
$21k Vol.
Will Iran target Egypt by...?
September 30
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
September 15
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
August 31
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$21k Vol.
Will Iran target Syria by...?
September 15
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
September 30
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
August 31
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$13k Vol.
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
August 31
24%
Yes
24%
No
76%
August 22
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$8k Vol.
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
September 30
51%
Yes
51%
No
49%
September 15
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
August 31
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$8k Vol.
Will Iran target Qatar by...?
September 30
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
September 15
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
August 31
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$7k Vol.
Will Iran target Bahrain by...?
September 30
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
September 15
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
August 31
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
$6k Vol.
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
September 30
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
September 15
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
August 31
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$5k Vol.
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
September 30
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
September 15
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
August 31
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
$4k Vol.
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